Süper Lig · Matchweek 17
Göztepe
GZT
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Göztepe26%
Draw24%
Beşiktaş50%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.85
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
39%Possession58%
36%Territory43%
56%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.