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Süper Lig · Matchweek 17

Göztepe

GZT

Beşiktaş

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Göztepe38%
Draw28%
Beşiktaş35%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.34

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.

36%Possession62%
36%Territory45%
24%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.