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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 17

Rizespor

RIZ

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor46%
Draw27%
Gençlerbirliği27%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.14

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rizespor will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.

49%Possession40%
37%Territory36%
28%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.14
9.0%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.