Süper Lig · Matchweek 17
Rizespor
RIZ
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor55%
Draw25%
Gençlerbirliği20%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.00
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession46%
38%Territory41%
11%From set plays43%
0.14Chance quality0.06
7.7%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.