Süper Lig · Matchweek 17
Eyüpspor
EYP
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eyüpspor30%
Draw28%
Samsunspor42%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.45
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
37%Territory35%
29%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eyüpspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.