Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Samsunspor
SAM
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor37%
Draw27%
Gaziantep FK36%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.43
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
35%Territory39%
21%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.