Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Samsunspor
SAM
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor46%
Draw26%
Gaziantep FK28%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.28
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.0%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Gaziantep FK will not mind.
58%Possession47%
40%Territory36%
21%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.