Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Beşiktaş
BEI
Rizespor
RIZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş63%
Draw21%
Rizespor16%
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.00
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession53%
43%Territory38%
22%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.