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Süper Lig · Matchweek 16

Beşiktaş

BEI

Rizespor

RIZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş57%
Draw24%
Rizespor20%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.04

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.8%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Rizespor will not mind.

62%Possession49%
45%Territory37%
5%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.0%Directness9.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.