Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Galatasaray
GAL
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray67%
Draw19%
Alanyaspor13%
Expected goals
2.23 – 0.93
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray will have the ball; Alanyaspor will not mind.
60%Possession46%
45%Territory37%
32%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.