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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 16

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Çorum FK

ORU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gençlerbirliği40%
Draw28%
Çorum FK31%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.19

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Çorum FK will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.

40%Possession54%
36%Territory38%
39%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.10
8.6%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.