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Süper Lig · Matchweek 16

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Çorum FK

ORU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gençlerbirliği35%
Draw27%
Çorum FK38%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.45

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 018.8%
  • 108.5%
  • 128.4%
  • 218.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession49%
41%Territory33%
43%From set plays1%
0.06Chance quality0.11
9.1%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.