Süper Lig · Matchweek 15
Kocaelispor
KOC
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor46%
Draw31%
Gençlerbirliği24%
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.86
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.4%
- 0–013.1%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 2–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession46%
38%Territory41%
14%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.06
5.3%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.