Süper Lig · Matchweek 15
Kocaelispor
KOC
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor52%
Draw29%
Gençlerbirliği19%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.78
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.1%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–012.1%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
54%Possession39%
34%Territory35%
42%From set plays42%
0.09Chance quality0.15
7.2%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.