Süper Lig · Matchweek 15
Çorum FK
ORU
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK27%
Draw26%
Amed Sportif47%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.62
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession53%
38%Territory43%
20%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.