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Süper Lig · Matchweek 15

Göztepe

GZT

Konyaspor

KON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Göztepe48%
Draw25%
Konyaspor26%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.22

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.5%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Göztepe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

39%Possession46%
36%Territory37%
56%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness10.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.