Süper Lig · Matchweek 15
Alanyaspor
ALA
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor42%
Draw27%
Samsunspor32%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession46%
33%Territory35%
21%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.