Süper Lig · Matchweek 15
Alanyaspor
ALA
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor44%
Draw28%
Samsunspor29%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.16
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Alanyaspor will not mind.
46%Possession58%
37%Territory40%
31%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.08
7.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.