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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 15

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Beşiktaş

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK24%
Draw25%
Beşiktaş50%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.71

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Beşiktaş will have the ball; Gaziantep FK will not mind.

52%Possession62%
39%Territory45%
8%From set plays5%
0.08Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.