Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK30%
Draw32%
Kocaelispor38%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.11
Over 2.5
34%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–014.1%
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–011.9%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
38%Possession47%
32%Territory38%
36%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.