Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Beşiktaş
BEI
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş69%
Draw18%
Samsunspor13%
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.96
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Samsunspor will not mind.
62%Possession46%
45%Territory35%
5%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.