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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 14

Galatasaray

GAL

Rizespor

RIZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Galatasaray67%
Draw19%
Rizespor14%

Expected goals

2.33 – 1.04

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 3–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession53%
45%Territory38%
32%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.