Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Konyaspor
KON
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Konyaspor40%
Draw28%
Gaziantep FK32%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.24
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession52%
35%Territory39%
18%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.1%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.