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Süper Lig · Matchweek 14

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Eyüpspor

EYP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gençlerbirliği41%
Draw29%
Eyüpspor30%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.11

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.0%
  • 1011.9%
  • 009.9%
  • 019.7%
  • 218.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession51%
41%Territory38%
43%From set plays42%
0.06Chance quality0.09
9.1%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Eyüpspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.