Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Amed Sportif
AME
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Amed Sportif47%
Draw26%
Alanyaspor27%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.17
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession46%
33%Territory37%
37%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.