Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa37%
Draw28%
Göztepe35%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Göztepe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession39%
28%Territory36%
22%From set plays56%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.