Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa31%
Draw29%
Göztepe40%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.30
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.8%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession39%
28%Territory40%
26%From set plays20%
0.08Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 4 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.