Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Samsunspor
SAM
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor51%
Draw26%
Gençlerbirliği23%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.06
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
58%Possession46%
40%Territory41%
21%From set plays43%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.8%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.