Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Samsunspor
SAM
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor36%
Draw27%
Gençlerbirliği37%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.45
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession40%
35%Territory36%
21%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.