Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Beşiktaş
BEI
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş41%
Draw25%
Galatasaray34%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.51
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession60%
43%Territory45%
22%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.