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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 13

Beşiktaş

BEI

Galatasaray

GAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş32%
Draw25%
Galatasaray43%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.67

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

62%Possession62%
45%Territory43%
5%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.