Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe73%
Draw17%
Erzurumspor FK9%
Expected goals
2.30 – 0.72
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
53%Possession38%
35%Territory32%
28%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.