Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Çorum FK
ORU
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK32%
Draw33%
Kocaelispor34%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.02
Over 2.5
32%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–015.3%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–013.2%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession54%
38%Territory34%
20%From set plays42%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.