Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Çorum FK
ORU
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK40%
Draw29%
Kocaelispor30%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.11
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.3%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
33%Territory38%
1%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.