Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Rizespor
RIZ
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor39%
Draw30%
Kasımpaşa31%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.10
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession47%
37%Territory28%
28%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.08
9.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.