Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Rizespor
RIZ
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor45%
Draw28%
Kasımpaşa27%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.07
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession46%
38%Territory28%
11%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.