Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Alanyaspor
ALA
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor43%
Draw29%
Konyaspor29%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.11
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–09.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession46%
37%Territory37%
31%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness10.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.