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Süper Lig · Matchweek 13

Eyüpspor

EYP

Başakşehir

BAA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eyüpspor33%
Draw27%
Başakşehir40%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.49

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 019.1%
  • 128.7%
  • 108.1%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eyüpspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession56%
38%Territory36%
42%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.