Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Eyüpspor
EYP
Başakşehir
BAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eyüpspor15%
Draw22%
Başakşehir64%
Expected goals
0.89 – 2.00
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.7%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession48%
37%Territory33%
29%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eyüpspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.