Süper Lig · Matchweek 13
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gaziantep FK25%
Draw25%
Amed Sportif50%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.75
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession53%
39%Territory43%
8%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.15
7.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.