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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 13

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Amed Sportif

AME

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK34%
Draw26%
Amed Sportif41%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.60

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession47%
36%Territory33%
34%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.14
8.7%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.