Süper Lig · Matchweek 12
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK24%
Draw27%
Göztepe49%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.52
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession39%
37%Territory40%
8%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 4 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Erzurumspor FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.