Süper Lig · Matchweek 12
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK26%
Draw26%
Göztepe48%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.66
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Göztepe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession39%
32%Territory36%
36%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.12
8.2%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.