Süper Lig · Matchweek 12
Galatasaray
GAL
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Galatasaray80%
Draw13%
Samsunspor7%
Expected goals
2.97 – 0.86
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.0%
- 3–09.5%
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.2%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Galatasaray will have the ball; Samsunspor will not mind.
62%Possession46%
43%Territory35%
22%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.