Süper Lig · Matchweek 12
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gençlerbirliği36%
Draw28%
Gaziantep FK36%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.37
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession47%
41%Territory36%
43%From set plays34%
0.06Chance quality0.08
9.1%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gençlerbirliği
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.