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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 12

Amed Sportif

AME

Rizespor

RIZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Amed Sportif57%
Draw23%
Rizespor20%

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.10

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rizespor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

53%Possession49%
43%Territory37%
12%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness9.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Amed Sportif, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.