Süper Lig · Matchweek 12
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa53%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor20%
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.86
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession46%
28%Territory33%
26%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 2 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alanyaspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.