Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Samsunspor
SAM
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor39%
Draw27%
Konyaspor35%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.39
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession49%
35%Territory35%
21%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.