Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Beşiktaş
BEI
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş61%
Draw22%
Gençlerbirliği17%
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.97
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.9%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
62%Possession40%
45%Territory36%
5%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.14
7.0%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.