Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Beşiktaş
BEI
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş73%
Draw17%
Gençlerbirliği10%
Expected goals
2.37 – 0.77
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.3%
- 1–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
58%Possession46%
43%Territory41%
22%From set plays43%
0.13Chance quality0.06
5.0%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.