Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Çorum FK
ORU
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK22%
Draw23%
Fenerbahçe55%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.92
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession53%
33%Territory35%
1%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.