Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Göztepe
GZT
Başakşehir
BAA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Göztepe42%
Draw26%
Başakşehir31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.33
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
36%Possession48%
36%Territory33%
24%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Göztepe, 3 for Başakşehir. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.