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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 11

Rizespor

RIZ

Erzurumspor FK

ERZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rizespor48%
Draw28%
Erzurumspor FK24%

Expected goals

1.46 – 0.98

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rizespor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession44%
37%Territory37%
28%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.