Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Rizespor
RIZ
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor58%
Draw24%
Erzurumspor FK18%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.94
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rizespor will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
53%Possession38%
38%Territory32%
11%From set plays36%
0.14Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.