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Süper Lig · Matchweek 11

Eyüpspor

EYP

Kocaelispor

KOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eyüpspor32%
Draw33%
Kocaelispor35%

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.05

Over 2.5

34%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0014.4%
  • 1113.6%
  • 0113.5%
  • 1012.7%
  • 127.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eyüpspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession47%
38%Territory38%
42%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.