Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Eyüpspor
EYP
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eyüpspor19%
Draw29%
Kocaelispor52%
Expected goals
0.72 – 1.36
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–117.3%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
32%Territory34%
33%From set plays42%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Eyüpspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eyüpspor
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 89 matches, not the full season.