Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gaziantep FK38%
Draw29%
Kasımpaşa33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.23
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession46%
36%Territory28%
34%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.