Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 11

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK34%
Draw30%
Kasımpaşa36%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.20

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–010.9%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kasımpaşa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession47%
39%Territory28%
8%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.