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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 10

Erzurumspor FK

ERZ

Çorum FK

ORU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Erzurumspor FK32%
Draw27%
Çorum FK41%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.50

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Çorum FK will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.

38%Possession49%
32%Territory33%
36%From set plays1%
0.08Chance quality0.11
8.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.