Süper Lig · Matchweek 10
Kocaelispor
KOC
Rizespor
RIZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor35%
Draw31%
Rizespor34%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.11
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.2%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–111.9%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession53%
38%Territory38%
14%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.