Süper Lig · Matchweek 10
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe60%
Draw22%
Göztepe18%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.08
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe will have the ball; Göztepe will not mind.
53%Possession39%
35%Territory36%
28%From set plays56%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.