Süper Lig · Matchweek 10
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gençlerbirliği31%
Draw29%
Alanyaspor40%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.31
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession46%
41%Territory37%
43%From set plays31%
0.06Chance quality0.14
9.1%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gençlerbirliği
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.