Süper Lig · Matchweek 10
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa22%
Draw26%
Beşiktaş52%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.63
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.4%
- 1–111.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.
46%Possession58%
28%Territory43%
22%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.