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Süper Lig · Matchweek 9

Konyaspor

KON

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Konyaspor50%
Draw27%
Gençlerbirliği23%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.00

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.5%
  • 1112.1%
  • 219.5%
  • 209.0%
  • 008.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gençlerbirliği get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession46%
37%Territory41%
20%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.06
10.6%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Konyaspor, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.