Süper Lig · Matchweek 9
Alanyaspor
ALA
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor42%
Draw32%
Kocaelispor27%
Expected goals
1.18 – 0.90
Over 2.5
35%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 0–013.9%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession47%
37%Territory38%
31%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.10
7.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.