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Süper Lig · Matchweek 9

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Erzurumspor FK

ERZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gaziantep FK52%
Draw25%
Erzurumspor FK23%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.08

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 1011.1%
  • 219.7%
  • 208.7%
  • 007.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Gaziantep FK will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.

47%Possession38%
36%Territory32%
34%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.7%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.