Süper Lig · Matchweek 9
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gaziantep FK52%
Draw25%
Erzurumspor FK23%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.08
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gaziantep FK will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
47%Possession38%
36%Territory32%
34%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.7%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gaziantep FK, 3 for Erzurumspor FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gaziantep FK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.