Süper Lig · Matchweek 8
Kocaelispor
KOC
Göztepe
GZT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor35%
Draw30%
Göztepe36%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.21
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Göztepe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession39%
38%Territory36%
14%From set plays56%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Göztepe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.