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Süper Lig · Matchweek 8

Çorum FK

ORU

Rizespor

RIZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Çorum FK37%
Draw26%
Rizespor37%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.52

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.3%
  • 107.7%
  • 017.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession53%
33%Territory38%
1%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Rizespor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.