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Süper Lig · Matchweek 8

Başakşehir

BAA

Gaziantep FK

GAZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Başakşehir48%
Draw24%
Gaziantep FK28%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.39

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.3%
  • 107.8%
  • 126.9%
  • 226.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Başakşehir will have the ball; Gaziantep FK will not mind.

56%Possession47%
36%Territory36%
15%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.08
8.3%Directness8.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Başakşehir, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.