Süper Lig · Matchweek 8
Başakşehir
BAA
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Başakşehir48%
Draw24%
Gaziantep FK28%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.39
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir will have the ball; Gaziantep FK will not mind.
56%Possession47%
36%Territory36%
15%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.08
8.3%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Başakşehir, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Başakşehir
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.